Traditional long-range economic and urban planning efforts create future scenarios based on historical trend analysis. The uncertainty associated with the local scale, timing, and magnitude of climate change can require a different approach. Focusing on possible future outcomes, rather than past trends, can lead to more climate adaptive responses.
3.2.1: Activity 1
In this activity, you will explore how to develop future scenarios that focus on future outcomes,
rather than past trends. You can use these scenarios to guide the development, evaluation and ranking of resilience interventions.